Between 1971 and 1980, the senior one of us (C.S.R.) performed 101
primary total hip replacements in eighty-five consecutive patients who were
less than fifty-five years old. All of the patients had degenerative joint
disease. Survivorship analysis was used to calculate a predicted cumulative
rate of success for this series of total hip replacements over ten years of
follow-up. This method of analysis of the data was chosen because it
provides a prediction of the expected durability of a total hip
arthroplasty in any individual patient. The need for revision because of
loosening or infection or else radiographic evidence of migration of a
component was the criterion for failure. Two revisions were performed for
aseptic loosening of the acetabular component. One infection necessitated
revision, and radiographic evidence of loss of fixation was seen in one
additional acetabular component and one femoral stem. Life-table
calculations predicted that the survivorship of all of the total hip
replacements in this series would be 87.6 per cent at ten years of
follow-up. Based on the results of the application of this method of
analysis to the current series, we concluded that a primary cemented total
hip replacement, when performed for coxarthrosis, can be expected to
function durably in an active middle-aged patient.